[1]布威阿依谢姆·吐合提,阿布都热合曼·哈力克,姚凯旋,等.艾比湖流域LUCC驱动的碳储量时空动态特征与多情景预测[J].华侨大学学报(自然科学版),2024,45(4):501-513.[doi:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.202403009]
 BUWEIAYXIEMU·Tuheti,ABUDUREHEMAN·Halike,YAO Kaixuan,et al.Spatio-Temporal Dynamics Characteristic and Multi-Scenario Prediction of Carbon Storage Driven by LUCC in Ebinur Lake Basin[J].Journal of Huaqiao University(Natural Science),2024,45(4):501-513.[doi:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.202403009]
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艾比湖流域LUCC驱动的碳储量时空动态特征与多情景预测()
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《华侨大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1000-5013/CN:35-1079/N]

卷:
第45卷
期数:
2024年第4期
页码:
501-513
栏目:
出版日期:
2024-07-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Spatio-Temporal Dynamics Characteristic and Multi-Scenario Prediction of Carbon Storage Driven by LUCC in Ebinur Lake Basin
文章编号:
1000-5013(2024)04-0501-13
作者:
布威阿依谢姆·吐合提12 阿布都热合曼·哈力克123 姚凯旋12 魏倩倩12 姚磊12 唐华12 罗健梅12 段越帆12
1. 新疆大学 地理与遥感科学学院, 新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017;2. 新疆大学 绿洲生态学新疆重点实验室, 新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017;3. 新疆大学 智慧城市与环境建模重点实验室, 新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017
Author(s):
BUWEIAYXIEMU·Tuheti12 ABUDUREHEMAN·Halike123 YAO Kaixuan12 WEI Qianqian12 YAO Lei12TANG Hua12 LUO Jianmei12 DUAN Yuefan12
1. College of Geography and Remote Sensing Sciences, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, China; 2. Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, China; 3. Key Laboratory of Smart City and Environment Modelling, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, China
关键词:
碳储量 耦合模型 土地利用/土地覆被变化 情景模拟 艾比湖流域
Keywords:
carbon storage coupling model land use/land cover change scenario simulation Ebinur Lake Basin
分类号:
S718.5;F301.2
DOI:
10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.202403009
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
运用一个集成GMOP-PLUS-InVEST模型的框架,动态分析艾比湖流域土地利用/土地覆被变化(LUCC)和碳储量的变化,并提供2030年3种可代替发展方案:自然发展情景(情形S1)、经济快速发展情景(情形S2)、经济和生态平衡发展情景(情形S3)。研究结果表明:1990-2020年间,耕地、建设用地和草地增加,林地、未利用地和水体则减少;在LUCC驱动下,过去30年间,总碳储量呈“增-减-增-减”的交替波动状态,整体增加了9.79×106 t;与延续历史发展和经济快速发展相比,情景S3碳储量及其经济价值最为缓减,因为该情景对区域森林和草地资源的干扰有最大限制。
Abstract:
A framework of the integrated GMOP-PLUS-InVEST model is used to dynamically analyze the land use/land cover change(LUCC)and carbon stock change in the Ebinur Lake Basin, and three alternative development plans in 2030 are provided: the scenario of natural development(scenario S1),the scenario of rapid economic development(scenario S2), and the scenario of economic and ecological balanced development(scenario S3). The research results show, between 1990 and 2020, the cultivated land, construction land and grassland increase, while wood land, unused land and water bodies decrease. Driven by LUCC, the total carbon storage has shown an alternating fluctuation state of “increase-decrease-increase-decrease” with a total increase of 9.79×106 t in the past 30 years. Compared with the continuation of historical development and rapid economic growth, the carbon storage and its economic value of scenario S3 present the most gradual reduction because the disturbance of the regional forest and grassland resources in this scenario is most limited.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2024-03-09
通信作者: 阿布都热合曼·哈力克(1967-),教授,博士,主要从事干旱区水土资源与环境管理的研究。E-mail:ah@xju.edu.cn。
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(42161049, 41761019, 41061052)https://hdxb.hqu.edu.cn/
更新日期/Last Update: 2024-07-20