[1]刘文斌,徐伟铭,王杏锋,等.区域国土开发强度与资源环境承载力时空耦合关系[J].华侨大学学报(自然科学版),2020,41(4):525-533.[doi:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.201910046]
　LIU Wenbin,XU Weiming,WANG Xingfeng,et al.Research on Spatiotemporal Coupling Relationship Between Regional Land Development Intensity and Resource Environmental Carrying-Capacity[J].Journal of Huaqiao University(Natural Science),2020,41(4):525-533.[doi:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.201910046]
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区域国土开发强度与资源环境承载力时空耦合关系()
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《华侨大学学报（自然科学版）》[ISSN:1000-5013/CN:35-1079/N]

卷:
第41卷
期数:
2020年第4期
页码:
525-533
栏目:
出版日期:
2020-07-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on Spatiotemporal Coupling Relationship Between Regional Land Development Intensity and Resource Environmental Carrying-Capacity
文章编号:
1000-5013(2020)04-0525-09
作者:
刘文斌1; 2; 3;  徐伟铭1; 2; 3;  王杏锋1; 2; 3;  刘洁1; 2; 3
1. 福州大学 数字中国研究院(福建), 福建 福州 350108;2. 福州大学 空间数据挖掘与信息共享教育部重点实验室, 福建 福州 350002;3. 福州大学 地理空间信息技术国家地方联合工程技术研究中心, 福建 福州 350002
Author(s):
LIU Wenbin1; 2; 3;  XU Weiming1; 2; 3;  WANG Xingfeng1; 2; 3;  LIU Jie1; 2; 3
1. The Academy of Digital China, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Spatial Data Mining & Information Sharing of Ministry of Education, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002, China; 3. National Engineering Research Centerof Geosp
关键词:
国土开发强度;  资源环境承载力;  时空耦合;  趋势预测;  福州市
Keywords:
land development intensity;  resource environmental carrying-capacity;  spatiotemporal coupling;  trend prediction;  Fuzhou City
分类号:
X32(257);F205
DOI:
10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.201910046
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对区域国土开发强度和资源环境承载力不协调、不平衡发展问题,利用耦合协调度模型和相对发展度模型,从时空维度定量研究福州市(仓山区、台江区和鼓楼区除外)国土开发强度与资源环境承载力的耦合协调发展关系及交互耦合程度.然后,通过新陈代谢GM(1,1)模型预测永泰县和闽清县未来5 a的耦合协调发展轨迹,实现从定量研究到动态仿真的转变.研究结果表明:2012-2017年福州市国土开发强度呈“倒U形”发展,高值地区主要分布于福州市的中部、南部和东南部,具有明显的空间差异性;2012-2017年福州市资源环境承载力在波动中稳步上升,上升幅度较大的地区有平潭县、闽清县、永泰县和晋安区,增幅最高达59%.研究期内,福州市总体处于低度协调阶段,其中晋安区耦合协调度提升最快,增幅达22.12%;但资源环境水平总体滞后于国土开发建设水平,且相对发展状态波动最大的为闽清县和永泰县.预测结果显示,未来5 a闽清县和永泰县耦合协调演化进程明显加快,两系统趋于衰退.
Abstract:
For regional land development intensity and resource environmental carrying-capacity problem of uncoordinated and uneven development based on the coupling coordination degree model and relative development degree model the coupling coordination development relationship and interaction coupling degree between land development intensity and resource environmental carrying-capacity in Fuzhou City(except Cangshan Dis-trict, Taijiang District and Gulou District)are studied quantitatively from the space-time dimension. Moreover, the metabolic GM(1,1)model is used to predict the development track of coupling and coordination degree of Yongtai County and Minqing County in the next five years,so as to realize the transformation from “quantitative study” to “dynamic simulation”. The results show that: the land development intensity in Fuzhou City developed in an “inverted U-shaped” from 2012 to 2017 the high-value areas were mainly distributed in the central southern and southeastern parts of Fuzhou City,with obvious spatial difference;the resource environmental carrying capacity in Fuzhou City increased steadily in the fluctuation from 2012 to 2017 the areas with a large increase were Pingtan County, Minqing County,Yongtai County and Jin’an District with a maximum increase of 59%.During the study period, Fuzhou City was generally in the stage of low coordination,and the coupling coordination degree of Jin’an District was the fastest, with an increase of 22.12%. However, the overall level of resources environment laged behind the level of land development and construction, and the most fluctuating relative development status were Minqing County and Yongtai County. The prediction results show that in the next five years, the coupling coordination evolution of Minqing County and Yongtai County will accelerate obviously, and the two systems will tend to decline.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2019-10-28
通信作者: 徐伟铭(1985-),男,讲师,博士,主要从事区域经济与资源环境研究.E-mail:xwming2@126.com.
基金项目: 中国科学院A类战略性先导科技专项子课题(XDA23100502); 福建省科技厅引导性项目(2017Y0055); “数字福建”重大项目(闽发改网数字函［2016］203号)
更新日期/Last Update: 2020-07-20